Super Bowl LI: Prop Bets

Sticking with the Super Bowl theme of posts this week, I felt like I needed to post these in advance of the game. Full disclaimer, I am not betting on this game but below are the bets I would make if I bet was betting today. Check out my picks below

Game Pick: I’m taking the Pats 27-24

Patriots -2.5 (buy this down from -3 if you can) and Under 59

Entertainment

  1. What will Luke Bryan be wearing when he starts singing the U.S. national anthem? (Bovada)
    • Blue Jeans 1/2
  • Any other pants or shorts 3/2

 

Yeah, give me Blue Jeans and it’s not even close

  1. How many times will Trump be said on TV during broadcast?
  • Over/Under 1½

 

Over – Another softball here with Trump being friends with Brady

 

  1. Who will Donald Trump pick to win the game? (Bovada)

 

Patriots – See number 2

 

  1. How many times will “Gronk” or “Gronkowski” be said on TV during live broadcast? (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 3

 

Over – It’ll be close but I’m taking the Pats to win. Meaning they’ll be showing the suites with him and he’ll join them for the celebration

 

  1. Will “Houston, we have a problem” be said on TV during live broadcast? (Bovada)
  • Yes 5/2
  • No 1/4

 

No….and if it is said, then the announcer needs to be fired on the spot…

 

  1. What color will Lady Gaga’s hair be when she comes on stage for the halftime show? (Bovada)
  • Blonde 1/4
  • Any other Color 5/2

 

Blonde – This one is a toss up for sure

 

  1. Which song will Lady Gaga play first during the halftime show? (Bovada)
  • “Born this Way9/4
  • “Bad Romance” 5/2
  • “Edge of Glory” 6/1
  • “Poker Face” 10/1
  • “Just Dance” 10/1
  • “Any other song” 11/10

 

Any other – Seeing as she’s just released a new album, I’ll lean towards her starting with one of those.

 

  1. How many times will J.J. Wattbe mentioned on TV during live broadcast? (Bovada)
  • Over 1 -140 (or 5/7)
  • Under 1 Even (or 1/1)

 

Over – Any time a Dlineman makes a play, he’ll be mentioned

 

  1. How many times will “deflate” or “Deflategate” be said on TV during live broadcast? (Bovada)
  • Over 1½ Even (or 1/1)
  • Under 1½ -140 (or 5/7)

 

WAY OVER – This is even money?! Take the gimme and go straight to the bank

 

  1. How many times will Gisele Bundchen be shown on TV during the broadcast? (Bovada)
  • Over 1½ +110 (11/10)
  • Under 1½ -150 (2/3)

 

Over – Like I said before, I’m taking the Pats, so I’m leaning to them showing the Pats suite often

 

In-game props

  1. Heads or tails? (Westgate)
  • Heads -102
  • Tails -102

 

Tails never fails!

 

  1. Will either team make a field goal in the first quarter? (Westgate)
  • Yes -120
  • No – Even

 

Yes – Pats don’t score TDs in the first quarter of Super Bowls which leads me to think they will get at least 1 field goal

 

  1. Will either team score three straight times? (Westgate)
  • Yes -190
  • No +170

 

Nope – Teams are too evenly matched

 

  1. Length of first reception by Chris Hogan(Westgate)
  • Over/under 11.5 yards

 

Over – He averages close to 17.5 yards/catch

 

  1. Will LeGarrette Blountscore a touchdown in the first half? (Westgate)
  • Yes +160
  • No -180

 

YES – Blount is going to ball out today! #GoDucks

 

  1. Total yardage of all touchdowns (Westgate)
  • Over/Under 100.5

 

Under – Weird prop for sure, but I’m not feeling any big play TDs this game

 

  1. Total first downs by Patriots (Westgate)
  • Over/Under 23.5

 

Under – That’s A LOT of first downs!

 

  1. Will Malcolm Butlerintercept a pass? (Westgate)
  • Yes +250
  • No -300

 

No – Have to love this one. But Matt Ryan won the MVP for a reason

 

  1. Firsthalf spread (Bovada)
  • Atlanta Falcons +1½
  • New England Patriots -1½

 

Falcons – close game and I think the Falcons lead at half

 

  1. Will the Patriots convert a fourthdown attempt? (Westgate)
  • Yes +135
  • No -155

 

Yes – This is Bill Belichick we are talking about here

 

  1. Total gross passing yards by Matt Ryan? (Westgate)
  • Over/Under 325.5

 

Under – Pats have the best defense in the league for a reason

 

  1. Will the opening kickoff result in a touchback? (Bovada)
  • Yes -200 (1/2)
  • No +160 (8/5)

 

YES –Easy money here. Take it

 

  1. Will Matt Ryan throw a touchdown pass in the first quarter? (Westgate)
  • Yes +120
  • No -140

 

Yes – Falcons score TDs on their opening drives. It’s what they do.

 

  1. Distance of the first Matt Ryan touchdown pass? (Westgate)
  • Over/Under 13.5

 

Under – See Pats Defense

 

  1. Total Number of Penalties in the Game by both teams (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 12½

 

Under – Both teams are incredibly coached

 

  1. Will a roughing-the-passer penalty be called in the game? (Bovada)
  • Yes +120 (6/5)
  • No -150 (2/3)

 

Yes – absolutely – Falcons need to get into Brady’s head if they want a chance

 

  1. Longest reception by Julio Jones(Westgate)
  • Over/Under 25.5 yards

 

Under – See Pats Defense

 

  1. Total receptions by Mohamed Sanu(Westgate)
  • Over/Under 4

 

Over – Pats will try to shut down Jones. Those passes have to go somewhere

 

  1. What will happen first? (Westgate)
  • Falcons score (-125)
  • Falcons punt (+140)

 

Falcons’ score – They score on their opening drive. It’s what they do

 

  1. Who will throw the first touchdown pass? (Bovada)
  • Tom Brady (-130)
  • Matt Ryan (+110)

 

Ryan – See #29

 

  1. First Touchdown Scorer (Bovada)
  • Julio Jones (ATL) 15/2
  • LeGarrette Blount (NE) 8/1
  • Julian Edelman (NE) 8/1
  • Devonta Freeman (ATL) 17/2
  • Chris Hogan (NE) 10/1
  • Martellus Bennett (NE) 12/1
  • Dion Lewis (NE) 12/1
  • Mohamed Sanu (ATL) 12/1
  • Tevin Coleman (ATL) 14/1
  • Taylor Gabriel (ATL) 16/1
  • Malcolm Mitchell (NE) 20/1
  • James White (NE) 20/1
  • Danny Amendola (NE) 22/1
  • Tom Brady (NE) 22/1
  • Austin Hooper (ATL) 22/1
  • Matt Ryan (ATL) 28/1
  • Justin Hardy (ATL) 33/1
  • Levine Toilolo (ATL) 33/1
  • Joshua Perkins (ATL) 66/1
  • Eric Weems (ATL) 66/1
  • Any other touchdown scorer 11/2

 

Give me Sanu – good odds and Pats will take away Jones. This is completely a guess of course

 

  1. Total Passing Yards for Tom Brady (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 310½

 

Under – Way under – Brady is the goat, but they will be running the ball all over the field

 

  1.  Total Rushing Yards for LeGarrette Blount (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 57½

 

Over – #GoDucks

 

  1. Will there be a penalty for excessive celebration? (Bovada)
  • Yes 5/2
  • No 1/4

 

No – Coaching got them here. They are too disciplined

 

  1. Will a 2-point conversion be successful in the game? (Bovada)
  • Yes +175 (7/4)
  • No -250 (2/5)

 

No – Don’t over think this

 

  1. Longest successful field goal in the game (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 47.5 Yards

 

Over – Game deciding Field Goal

 

  1. Total QB sacks (both teams combined) (Bovada)
  • Over/Under 4

 

Over (push if you can get that) – Both teams bring pressure

 

  1. Will there be a flea flicker attempted in the game? (Bovada)
  • Yes 5/1
  • No 1/9

 

Avoid – But if you have to pick, I’d say yes. Must win games mean crazy plays

 

  1. The first score of the game will be a … (Bovada)
  • Patriots touchdown 9/5
  • Falcons touchdown 2/1
  • Patriots field goal 3/1
  • Falcons field goal 7/2
  • Falcons safety 20/1
  • Patriots safety 20/1

 

Falcons TD – But I’m also tempted to take Pats Safety – 2 of the last 5 have started with a safety and the Pats Defense is legit

 

Cross-sport action

  1. What will be higher on Super Bowl Sunday? (Bovada)
  • Patriots total points scored -140 (or 5/7)
  • Russell Westbrook points scored – Even (or 1/1)

 

Westbrook – Thunder at home vs the Blazers – He’s getting a triple double with at least 30

 

  1. Who will have more? (Westgate)
  • Isaiah Thomas points
  • Patriots points -2.5

 

Patriots – Thomas has been great lately, but I don’t see him putting up 27 vs the Clippers

 

42. Super Bowl LI MVP (Bovada)

  • Tom Brady (NE) 7/5
  • Matt Ryan (ATL) 5/2
  • Julio Jones (ATL) 9/1
  • LeGarrette Blount (NE) 16/1
  • Julian Edelman (NE) 16/1
  • Devonta Freeman (ATL) 16/1
  • Dion Lewis (NE) 16/1
  • Chris Hogan (NE) 25/1
  • Vic Beasley (ATL) 40/1
  • Tevin Coleman (ATL) 40/1
  • Martellus Bennett (NE) 50/1
  • Mohamed Sanu (ATL) 50/1
  • Matt Bryant (ATL) 66/1
  • Malcom Butler (NE) 66/1
  • Taylor Gabriel (ATL) 66/1
  • Stephen Gostkowski (NE) 66/1
  • Austin Hooper (ATL) 66/1
  • Logan Ryan (NE) 66/1
  • James White (NE) 66/1
  • Devin McCourty (NE) 75/1
  • Malcolm Mitchell (NE) 100/1
  • Danny Amendola (NE) 150/1
  • Patrick Chung (NE) 150/1
  • Dwight Freeney (ATL) 150/1
  • Dont’a Hightower (NE) 150/1
  • Deion Jones (ATL) 150/1
  • Chris Long (NE) 150/1
  • Keanu Neal (ATL) 150/1
  • Rob Ninkovich (NE) 100/1
  • Levine Toilolo (ATL) 150/1
  • Eric Weems (ATL) 150/1
  • Field 25/1

 

Blount! – Brady is the easy answer for sure, but I have to go with my dude Blount with those 16/1 odds – #GoDucks

 

43. Who will the Super Bowl MVP mention first? (Bovada)

  • God 2/1
  • Team/teammates 2/1
  • Coach 9/1
  • Family 9/1
  • Owner 9/1
  • Donald Trump 20/1
  • Does not mention anyone above 5/2

 

Teammates – Both teams are here because they are just that, TEAMS

 

44. Will Matt Ryan win Regular Season MVP and Super Bowl MVP? (Bovada)

  • Yes 3/1
  • No 1/5

 

No –If the Falcons win, he’ll definitely win both. So pick based on who you have winning

 

45. What color will the liquid be that is poured on the winning coach? (Bovada)

  • Clear 3/1
  • Lime/green 3/1
  • Orange 3/1
  • Yellow 3/1
  • Red 6/1
  • Blue 15/2
  • Purple 12/1

 

Red – Both teams have Red in their uniform colors. That’s the only reason I have.

 

46. If the Patriots win, will Brady, Belichick or Kraft be seen shaking Roger Goodell’s hand on TV? (Bovada)

  • Yes -180 (or 5/9)
  • No +140 (or 7/5)

 

No – 100% – Kraft will accept the trophy but he’s not shaking his hand

 

Shout out to CBS Sports for putting this list together!

 

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